The Edge shows how confident the model is its prediction. Simple math. The higher the edge, the greater the advantage over the odds.
Player Props picks are powered by the ShotQuality Edge. The Edge shows how confident the model is its prediction. Here's how it works.
💰 First we convert the odds into a percentage. -110 means that BetMGM has a 52.4% chance of winning -110 / (-110 / 100).
🏀 Next the ShotQuality model predicts what the player will score using variables like usage, efficiency, past performance against SQ projections, playing time, injuries, etc... The model outputs a percentage that the predicted outcome will happen. For example tonight SQ has 60.7% confidence that Klay Thompson will go under 23.5 points.
💥 Finally we calculate our edge. The edge is the difference between SQ's Confidence and BetMGM's chance of winning. In this example 60.7% - 52.4% = 8.36% Edge.
Simple math. The higher the edge, the greater the advantage over the odds. Get tonight's edge to power your winning picks at: https://shotqualitybets.com/picks/playerprops/nba